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ABI: 95M Cellular M2M Modules to Ship in 2013

November 25, 2008 // Published as a news service by IHS

 
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Continued strong growth in machine-to-machine (M2M) communications markets will result in approximately 95 million cellular M2M modules shipping in 2013, according to ABI Research.

Shipments of M2M modules to the three main market segments - telematics, telemetry and wireless local loop - will include approximately 34 million devices for telematics and 39 million for telemetry.

"Until about 2011, the major market growth will be found in the telemetry segment, since it encompasses a broad range of applications including smart metering, POS [point of sale] terminals and remote monitoring and control applications," said ABI Research senior analyst Sam Lucero.

"After 2011, we expect to see a spike in telematics applications," Lucero said. "These exist now, but from 2011 will be driven more quickly by mandates such as Europe's eCall initiative, which will see cellular connections in every vehicle and in North America by a much stronger competitive reaction to OnStar.

"Virtually [all] of the major automakers will come out with OEM [original equipment manufacturer] telematics programs. Commercial telematics [are] also set for strong growth as fleet managers use telematics to reduce fuel costs and increase overall operational efficiency."

Analysts said average selling prices are expected to decline across all air interface standards through 2010, after which they should level out.

Will current global financial and economic uncertainties negatively affect this market? Although analysts said there is no immediate indication of this, there will likely be some impact. "A few companies have told ABI Research that the economic uncertainty will have a direct impact," Lucero said. "We're in the process of surveying selected industry stakeholders to evaluate whether our forecasts will need to be refined."

Source: ABI Research.


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