ABI: Ultra-Wideband Equipment Shipments Will Exceed 400M in 2013
March 26, 2008 // Published as a news service by IHS
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After much anticipation and delay, ultra-wideband (UWB) should see "very strong growth" starting in 2008, finding its first success in laptops, computer peripherals and eventually in mobile handsets, according to ABI Research.
Forecasts indicate that shipments of UWB-enabled devices will grow from virtually zero today, to more than 400 million in 2013.
"The ultra-wideband [UWB] market did not come out of the starting gates in 2006 as we had anticipated," said ABI Research senior analyst Douglas McEuen.
"There were several reasons for the delay, including a shakeout from three competing flavors of the technology to one, and the absence of global standards."
Analysts said conditions are now ripe for a rapid takeoff. In 2007, only about 40,000 UWB-equipped devices shipped.
In 2008, there will be perhaps 1 million, with the curve expected to rise sharply thereafter. Because an official UWB standard has now been ratified in the U.S., North America is expected to lead this market for some time to come.
The current "sweet spot" in this market is UWB's application as a wireless universal serial bus (USB) enabler, analysts said, connecting computers (especially notebooks) with printers, hard drives and other peripherals.
An initial UWB "hub and dongle" configuration will enable users to retrofit the vast number of existing PCs and related equipment with wireless connections. UWB modules are just starting to appear in selected laptops (initially from Lenovo, Dell and Toshiba), but true silicon integration will take more time.
Other kinds of consumer electronics, such as digital cameras and camcorders, HDTVs and portable music devices, will start to build the numbers later, McEuen said.
"[But] real market acceleration will only occur when UWB debuts in mobile handsets, where it will be used - possibly bundled with Bluetooth - to transfer music, pictures and video files. Even a small handset market penetration will deliver huge numbers. For UWB to see wide adoption in handsets, however, the price of the chipset must fall quite significantly."
Source: ABI Research.